Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12

Oct 23, 2022 at 2pm UK

Stade de l'Aube

Troyes
2 - 2
Lorient

Laporte (34' og.), Lopes (61')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Diarra (50'), Boisgard (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions

Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Ajaccio
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Lorient 0-0 Reims
Saturday, October 15 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Troyes	Draw	Lorient
46.1% ( 0.13)	26.51% ( -0.1)	27.38% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 49.29% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45% (

0.36)

55% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.73% (

0.29)

76.27% (

-0.29)

Troyes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.18% (

0.22)

23.82% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.01% (

0.31)

57.99% (

-0.31)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.69% (

0.17)

35.3% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.94% (

0.17)

72.06% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Troyes 46.1%

Lorient 27.38%

Draw 26.51%

Troyes	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 12.06% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.1%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.51%	0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.05% Total : 27.38%