Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Lorient |
46.1% (![]() | 26.51% (![]() | 27.38% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.29% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45% (![]() | 55% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.73% (![]() | 76.27% (![]() |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.18% (![]() | 23.82% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.01% (![]() | 57.99% (![]() |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.69% (![]() | 35.3% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.94% (![]() | 72.06% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Lorient |
1-0 @ 12.06% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.01% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.65% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.14% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.1% | 1-1 @ 12.56% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.41% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.69% ( ![]() Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 8.75% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.54% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.56% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.05% Total : 27.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 36 | 11 | 25 | 33 |
2 | Nice | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 29 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
4 | Lille | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 26 |
5 | Reims | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 23 |
6 | Lens | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Brest | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 21 |
8 | NantesNantes | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 18 |
9 | Marseille | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Le HavreLe Havre | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Metz | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Rennes | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 13 |
14 | Toulouse | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 13 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 13 |
16 | Lorient | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
17 | Clermont | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 10 |
18 | Lyon | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |