Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9

Oct 2, 2022 at 12pm UK

Stade du Moustoir

Lorient
2 - 1
Lille

Diakite (9' og.), Le Bris (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

David (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions

Last Game: Auxerre 1-3 Lorient
Friday, September 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lille

All competitions

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Toulouse
Saturday, September 17 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.

Result
Lorient	Draw	Lille
27.38% ( -0.02)	25.78% ( -0.05)	46.84% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 51.49% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.86% (

0.17)

52.13% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.15% (

0.15)

73.85% (

-0.14)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.23% (

0.07)

33.77% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.56% (

0.08)

70.43% (

-0.08)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.75% (

0.1)

22.25% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.31% (

0.15)

55.69% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Lorient 27.39%

Lille 46.84%

Draw 25.77%

Lorient	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.65% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 27.39%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.77%	0-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.49% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 46.84%