Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.84%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 27.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Lille |
27.38% ( -0.02) | 25.78% ( -0.05) | 46.84% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 51.49% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.86% ( 0.17) | 52.13% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.15% ( 0.15) | 73.85% ( -0.14) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.23% ( 0.07) | 33.77% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.56% ( 0.08) | 70.43% ( -0.08) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.75% ( 0.1) | 22.25% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.31% ( 0.15) | 55.69% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.65% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 27.39% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 11.29% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.49% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.62% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 46.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
8 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |