Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8

Sep 17, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade Lille-Metropole

Lille
2 - 1
Toulouse

David (5'), Ounas (53')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Chaibi (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

Last Six:

Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Lille
Saturday, September 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Monaco	7	-2	11
8	Lille	7	-1	10
9	Clermont	7	-2	10

Toulouse

Last Six:

Last Game: Toulouse 1-0 Reims
Sunday, September 11 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Montpellier HSC	7	3	9
11	Toulouse	7	-3	8
12	Nice	7	-3	8

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Toulouse
46.35% ( 0.63)	24.81% ( 0.72)	28.85% ( -1.35)

Both teams to score 55.6% (

-3.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.77% (

-3.95)

47.23% (

3.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.54% (

-3.78)

69.46% (

3.78)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.56% (

-1.33)

20.44% (

1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.11% (

-2.15)

52.89% (

2.15)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.89% (

-2.93)

30.11% (

2.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.75% (

-3.66)

66.25% (

3.65)

Score Analysis

Lille 46.35%

Toulouse 28.85%

Draw 24.8%

Lille	Draw	Toulouse
1-0 @ 9.77% ( 1.17) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.64) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.37) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.76% Total : 46.35%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.53) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.96) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.45) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.8%	0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.62) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.38) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.16% Total : 28.85%