/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flillog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Ftoulog.png)
-
Jonathan David
5'
-
Adam Ounas
53'
-
Fares Chaibi
48'
Lille vs Toulouse - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F36%2Fpaulo-fonseca.jpeg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
Result
Lille
46.35%
▲
(+0.63)
Draw
24.81%
▲
(+0.72)
Toulouse
28.85%
▼
(-1.35)
Both Teams to Score:
55.6%
▼
(-3.30)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.77%
▼
(-3.95)
Under 2.5
47.23%
▲
(+3.95)
Over 3.5
30.54%
▼
(-3.78)
Under 3.5
69.46%
▲
(+3.78)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5
79.56%
▼
(-1.33)
Under 0.5
20.44%
▲
(+1.33)
Over 1.5
47.11%
▼
(-2.16)
Under 1.5
52.89%
▲
(+2.15)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5
69.89%
▼
(-2.93)
Under 0.5
30.11%
▲
(+2.93)
Over 1.5
33.75%
▼
(-3.66)
Under 1.5
66.25%
▲
(+3.66)
Score analysis
Lille
46.35%
Draw
24.8%
Toulouse
28.85%
Lille
1-0
@
9.77%
▲
(+1.18)
2-1 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.76% ▲ (+0.65)
3-1 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.38)
4-1 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.16)
4-0 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 46.35%
2-1 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.76% ▲ (+0.65)
3-1 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.38)
4-1 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.16)
4-0 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.21)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 46.35%
Draw
1-1
@
11.72%
▲
(+0.54)
0-0 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.96)
2-2 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.45)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.8%
0-0 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.96)
2-2 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.45)
3-3 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.27)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.8%
Toulouse
0-1
@
7.39%
▲
(+0.62)
1-2 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.26)
0-2 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.36)
2-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.39)
0-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 28.85%
1-2 @ 7.04% ▼ (-0.26)
0-2 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.82% ▼ (-0.36)
2-3 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.39)
0-3 @ 1.77% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 28.85%
