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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Toulouse
Lille
2 - 1
Toulouse
David (5'), Ounas (53')
Fonte (44'), Diakite (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Chaibi (48')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Lille
Saturday, September 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 1-1 Toulouse

Two sides with contrasting thoughts as to how their seasons have started, Toulouse will travel to Lille confident of snatching a result. History suggests that it will be a challenge for the visitors, but given Lille's wretched form, do not bet against Toulouse snatching a point this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawToulouse
46.35% (0.628 0.63) 24.81% (0.718 0.72) 28.85% (-1.347 -1.35)
Both teams to score 55.6% (-3.294 -3.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.77% (-3.948 -3.95)47.23% (3.948 3.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.54% (-3.778 -3.78)69.46% (3.778 3.78)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.56% (-1.326 -1.33)20.44% (1.326 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.11% (-2.15 -2.15)52.89% (2.15 2.15)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (-2.926 -2.93)30.11% (2.926 2.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (-3.655 -3.66)66.25% (3.655 3.65)
Score Analysis
    Lille 46.35%
    Toulouse 28.85%
    Draw 24.8%
LilleDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 9.77% (1.173 1.17)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.76% (0.643 0.64)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.181 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.372 -0.37)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.203 -0.2)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 46.35%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.53 0.53)
0-0 @ 6.15% (0.958 0.96)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.446 -0.45)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.262 -0.26)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.619 0.62)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.255 -0.26)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.384 -0.38)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 28.85%

How you voted: Lille vs Toulouse

Lille
81.9%
Draw
16.7%
Toulouse
1.4%
72
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2020 7pm
Lille
3-0
Toulouse
Remy (2', 39'), Sanches (72')
Osimhen (40')

Leya Iseka (24'), Sangare (89'), Vainqueur (90')
Oct 19, 2019 7pm
Toulouse
2-1
Lille
Sanogo (58'), Gradel (66' pen.)
Said (14'), Sanogo (40')
Fonte (93')
Xeka (71'), Araujo (73'), Pied (81'), Fonte (90')
Apr 21, 2019 2pm
Toulouse
0-0
Lille

Sidibe (23'), Gradel (41')

Celik (17'), Soumare (53'), Mendes (85')
Dec 22, 2018 8pm
Lille
1-2
Toulouse
Leao (17')
Mendes (45'), Dabila (62'), Maia (66')
Gradel (50' pen., 64')
Moubandje (38'), Durmaz (44'), Amian (70'), Sidibe (88')
May 6, 2018 4pm
Toulouse
2-3
Lille
Jean (9'), Jullien (44')
Yago (73'), Diop (78'), Moubandje (85')
Moubandje (90')
Pepe (5', 82'), Bissouma (80')
Bissouma (23'), Pepe (83')
rhs 2.0
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15113138122636
2Nice159511661032
3MonacoMonaco1593331201130
4Lille157621911827
5Brest157441915425
6Marseille156542216623
7Lens156541915423
8Reims157262121023
9NantesNantes155371925-618
10StrasbourgStrasbourg154561420-617
11Le HavreLe Havre153751317-416
12Metz154471523-816
13Rennes153662021-115
14Montpellier HSCMontpellier153661720-314
15Toulouse152761421-713
16Lorient152672029-912
17Clermont15258921-1211
18Lyon152491427-1310

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