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Brest logo
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lorient logo
Lyon
Marseille
Metz logo
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Lille-Metropole
Toulouse

Lille
2 - 1
Toulouse

David (5'), Ounas (53')
Fonte (44'), Diakite (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Chaibi (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 2-1 Lille
Saturday, September 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 1-1 Toulouse

Two sides with contrasting thoughts as to how their seasons have started, Toulouse will travel to Lille confident of snatching a result. History suggests that it will be a challenge for the visitors, but given Lille's wretched form, do not bet against Toulouse snatching a point this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawToulouse
46.35% (0.628 0.63) 24.81% (0.718 0.72) 28.85% (-1.347 -1.35)
Both teams to score 55.6% (-3.294 -3.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.77% (-3.948 -3.95)47.23% (3.948 3.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.54% (-3.778 -3.78)69.46% (3.778 3.78)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.56% (-1.326 -1.33)20.44% (1.326 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.11% (-2.15 -2.15)52.89% (2.15 2.15)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (-2.926 -2.93)30.11% (2.926 2.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (-3.655 -3.66)66.25% (3.655 3.65)
Score Analysis
    Lille 46.35%
    Toulouse 28.85%
    Draw 24.8%
LilleDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 9.77% (1.173 1.17)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.76% (0.643 0.64)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-0 @ 4.11% (0.181 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.372 -0.37)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.159 -0.16)
4-0 @ 1.63% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.203 -0.2)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 46.35%
1-1 @ 11.72% (0.53 0.53)
0-0 @ 6.15% (0.958 0.96)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.446 -0.45)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.262 -0.26)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.39% (0.619 0.62)
1-2 @ 7.04% (-0.255 -0.26)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-3 @ 2.24% (-0.384 -0.38)
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 28.85%

How you voted: Lille vs Toulouse

Lille
81.9%
Draw
16.7%
Toulouse
1.4%
72
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2020 7pm
Lille
3-0
Toulouse
Remy (2', 39'), Sanches (72')
Osimhen (40')

Leya Iseka (24'), Sangare (89'), Vainqueur (90')
Oct 19, 2019 7pm
Toulouse
2-1
Lille
Sanogo (58'), Gradel (66' pen.)
Said (14'), Sanogo (40')
Fonte (93')
Xeka (71'), Araujo (73'), Pied (81'), Fonte (90')
Apr 21, 2019 2pm
Toulouse
0-0
Lille

Sidibe (23'), Gradel (41')

Celik (17'), Soumare (53'), Mendes (85')
Dec 22, 2018 8pm
Lille
1-2
Toulouse
Leao (17')
Mendes (45'), Dabila (62'), Maia (66')
Gradel (50' pen., 64')
Moubandje (38'), Durmaz (44'), Amian (70'), Sidibe (88')
May 6, 2018 4pm
Toulouse
2-3
Lille
Jean (9'), Jullien (44')
Yago (73'), Diop (78'), Moubandje (85')
Moubandje (90')
Pepe (5', 82'), Bissouma (80')
Bissouma (23'), Pepe (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG30209173264769
2MonacoMonaco30177656381858
3Brest30158744291553
4Lille301410643261752
5Nice3013983324948
6Lens30137103932746
7Rennes30119104436842
8Marseille30101194537841
9Lyon30125133949-1041
10Reims30117123741-440
11Toulouse30910113639-337
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier31911113943-437
13StrasbourgStrasbourg3099123341-836
14NantesNantes3195172949-2032
15Metz3085173149-1829
16Le HavreLe Havre30610142738-1128
17Lorient3068163659-2326
18Clermont30410162149-2822


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