| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Troyes | 7 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 7 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | Nantes | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Lens | 7 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Lorient | 7 | 3 | 16 |
| 5 | Lyon | 7 | 7 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 49.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Lorient |
| 49.93% ( | 25.82% ( | 24.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.52% ( | 54.48% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.16% ( | 75.84% ( |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.14% ( | 21.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.91% ( | 55.09% ( |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.3% ( | 37.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.52% ( | 74.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Auxerre | Draw | Lorient |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% 2-0 @ 9.53% 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 3-0 @ 4.83% ( 3-1 @ 4.71% ( 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 4-0 @ 1.84% 4-1 @ 1.79% ( Other @ 3.11% Total : 49.93% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 2-2 @ 4.53% ( Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 1-2 @ 5.96% 0-2 @ 3.92% ( 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.65% Total : 24.26% |