Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (9.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.