Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 30.58% and a draw had a probability of 28.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (9.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.