Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (10.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.