League Two
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Memorial Stadium
  • Kofi Balmer 2' goal
  • Joe Quigley 7' goal
  • Yusuf Akhamrich 63' goal
  • Luke Thomas 66' yellowcard
  • Promise Omochere 66' yellowcard
  • Fabrizio Cavegn 83' yellowcard
  • Mees Rijks 90' yellowcard
  • goal Andy Cook 38'
  • yellowcard Darragh Burns 69'
  • yellowcard Géza Dávid Turi 79'
  • yellowcard Justin Amaluzor 80'
  • yellowcard Tyrell Sellars-Fleming 89'

Bristol Rovers vs Grimsby Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Oldham 2 - 0 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Fabrizio Cavegn

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2026 7.45pm
Grimsby Town 2 - 2 Walsall
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Jaze Kabia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result

Bristol Rovers 25.77%
Draw 25.47%
Grimsby Town 48.77%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.6%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.35% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 24.65% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 50.95% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 49.05% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28.56% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 71.44% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 15.9% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 84.1% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Bristol Rovers 22.06%
Draw 42.06%
Grimsby Town 35.88%

Team To Score First

Bristol Rovers 36.62%
No Goal 7.06% (-0.02)
Grimsby Town 56.32% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.96%
Equal 8 11.46%
Under 8 27.59%
Over 9 48.96%
Equal 9 11.99%
Under 9 39.04%
Over 10.5 37.5%
Under 10.5 62.5%

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 1.5 27.89% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 72.11% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 9.3% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 90.7% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.57% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.43% (-0.02)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5 77.63% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 22.37% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 47.06% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 52.94% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 21.13% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 78.87% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 7.97% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.03% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Bristol Rovers 25.78%
Draw 25.47%
Grimsby Town 48.76%
Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 7.37% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.45%
2-0 @ 3.93%
3-1 @ 2.24% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.77%
3-0 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.37% (+0.02)
Total : 25.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 7.06% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.49% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.2% (+0.02)
Total : 25.47%
Grimsby Town
0-1 @ 10.23%
1-2 @ 9.85%
0-2 @ 8.82% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.93%
0-3 @ 4.44%
2-3 @ 2.72%
Other @ 7.77%
Total : 48.76%

Head to Head

League Two
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Conference Premier Playoffs
May 17, 2015 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Wembley
  • Will Puddy 17' yellowcard
  • Ellis Harrison 29' goal
  • Matty Taylor 34' yellowcard
  • goal Lenell John-Lewis 2'
  • yellowcard Carl Magnay 40'
  • yellowcard Scott Brown 86'
Conference Premier
Feb 14, 2015 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Carl Magnay 26' yellowcard
  • James McKeown 40' yellowcard
  • Aristote Nsiala 71' yellowcard
  • Gregor Robertson 85' yellowcard
  • Ross Hannah 92' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Lockyer 67'
  • yellowcard Tom Lockyer 86'
Conference Premier
Aug 9, 2014 12.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Daniel Leadbitter 56' yellowcard
League Two
Feb 10, 2007 3.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Danny Boshell 28' yellowcard
  • Danny North 33' goal
  • Justin Whittle 48' goal
  • Danny Boshell 53' goal
  • Ciaran Toner 66' goal
  • goal Craig Disley 14'
  • goal Lewis Haldane 20'
  • goal Craig Disley 90'
League Two
Aug 12, 2006 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Byron Anthony 43' yellowcard
  • Andy Sandell 50' goal
  • Sammy Igoe 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Phil Barnes 51'
  • yellowcard Tom Newey 52'
  • yellowcard Paul Bolland 61'