Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (7.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.