Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.