Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.55% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%) , while for a Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.