League Two Gameweek 41
Apr 3, 2026 3.00pm
Wham Stadium

Accrington Stanley vs Crewe Alexandra - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Bristol Rovers 2 - 0 Accrington
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Paddy Madden

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last game
Mar 28, 2026 3.00pm
Crewe 2 - 1 Oldham
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Josh March

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw has a probability of 24.85% and a win for Accrington Stanley has a probability of 23.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.71%) , while for a Accrington Stanley win it is 1-0 (7.22%).

Result

Accrington Stanley 23.67%
Draw 24.85%
Crewe Alexandra 51.44% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.49%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.36% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 26.64% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 48.64% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 51.36% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 26.86% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 73.14% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 15.12% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 84.88% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Accrington Stanley 22.46%
Draw 41.66%
Crewe Alexandra 35.89%

Team To Score First

Accrington Stanley 33.06%
No Goal 7.47%
Crewe Alexandra 59.47%

Corners

Over 8 60.07% (+0.14)
Equal 8 11.37%
Under 8 28.55% (-0.15)
Over 9 48.26% (+0.12)
Equal 9 11.81% (+0.01)
Under 9 39.93% (-0.14)
Over 10.5 37.04% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 62.96% (-0.11)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 1.5 24.8% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 75.2% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 7.74%
Under 2.5 92.26%
Over 3.5 2.05%
Under 3.5 97.95%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5 78.26% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 21.74% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 46.74% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 53.26% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 21.54% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 78.46% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.06% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.94% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Accrington Stanley 23.68%
Draw 24.84%
Crewe Alexandra 51.44%
Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 7.22%
2-1 @ 5.88%
2-0 @ 3.74%
3-1 @ 2.02%
3-2 @ 1.55%
3-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 23.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 7.47%
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 24.84%
Crewe Alexandra
0-1 @ 11.91% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.62%
0-2 @ 9.27%
0-3 @ 5.01%
1-3 @ 4.95%
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.01)
Other @ 8% (-0.01)
Total : 51.44%

Head to Head

League Two
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 28
Jan 25, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Ryan Cooney 31' yellowcard
  • Jamie Knight-Lebel 32' yellowcard
  • Omar Bogle 83' yellowcard
  • goal Shaun Whalley 16'
  • yellowcard Jake Batty 48'
  • yellowcard Shaun Whalley 58'
  • yellowcard Ashley Hunter 77'
  • yellowcard Seamus Conneely 90'+3'
League Two Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Wham Stadium
  • Michael Kelly 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Lankester 70'
  • yellowcard Jamie Knight-Lebel 76'
  • goal Zac Williams 85'
League Two Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wham Stadium
  • Alex Henderson 11' yellowcard
  • Alex Henderson 11' yellowcard
  • Dan Martin 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elliott Nevitt 90'+1'
League Two Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Aaron Rowe 4' goal
  • Mickey Demetriou 29' goal
  • Shilow Tracey 45' yellowcard
  • Conor Thomas 51' yellowcard
  • Luke Offord 80' redcard
  • Elliott Nevitt 90'+8' goal
  • Elliott Nevitt 90'+9' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Nolan 6'
  • yellowcard Dan Martin 71'
  • goal Ben Woods 87'
  • goal Josh Woods 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Brad Hills 90'+9'
League One Gameweek 33
Feb 12, 2022 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ross Sykes 12' goal
  • Matt Butcher 29' yellowcard
  • Tommy Leigh 51' goal
  • Ross Sykes 60' goal
  • Sean McConville 64' goal
  • Ross Sykes 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dan Agyei 16'
  • yellowcard Travis Johnson 63'
  • yellowcard Ryan Alebiousu 67'
  • goal Dan Agyei 90'+3'