Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 51.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.85% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%) , while for a Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.