Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 24.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-2 (7.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.