Feb 21, 2026 12.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium

Ollie Palmer 52'
Michael Olakigbe 53'
Michael Olakigbe 64'
Joel McGregor 68'
Junior Hoilett 79'
Filozofe Mabete 79'

Adrien Thibaut 37'
Matus Holicek 45'+2'
Josh March 53'
Omar Bogle 82'

Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

W
L
W
W
W
W

League Two

W
L
W
W
W
W

Last game

Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm

Barnet 1 - 2 Swindon

Goals scored

54

Top scorer

Aaron Drinan

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions

L
W
W
D
W
D

League Two

L
W
W
D
W
D

Last game

Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm

Crewe 0 - 1 Fleetwood

Goals scored

49

Top scorer

Josh March

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

Swindon Town 46.95% ▲ (+0.05)

Draw 26.19%

Crewe Alexandra 26.86%

Both Teams to Score:

51.68%

Goals

Over 1.5 73% ▲ (+0.04)

Under 1.5 27% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 2.5 48.13%

Under 2.5 51.87%

Over 3.5 26.73%

Under 3.5 73.27%

Over 4.5 14.81% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 4.5 85.19% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Swindon Town 33.87%

Draw 42.83%

Crewe Alexandra 23.3%

Team To Score First

Swindon Town 52.48%

No Goal 7.71%

Crewe Alexandra 39.81%

Corners

Over 8 62.21%

Equal 8 10.93%

Under 8 26.86%

Over 9 50.68%

Equal 9 11.53%

Under 9 37.79%

Over 10.5 39.52%

Under 10.5 60.48%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 1.5 43.46% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 1.5 56.54% ▼ (-0.03)

Over 2.5 18.79% ▼ (-0.02)

Under 2.5 81.21% ▲ (+0.01)

Over 3.5 6.64%

Under 3.5 93.36%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5 61.6%

Under 0.5 38.4%

Over 1.5 27.98%

Under 1.5 72.02%

Over 2.5 9.77% ▲ (+0.01)

Under 2.5 90.23% ▼ (-0.01)

Over 3.5 2.73%

Under 3.5 97.27%

Score analysis

Swindon Town 46.94%

Draw 26.19%

Crewe Alexandra 26.87%

Swindon Town

1-0 @ 11.73%

2-1 @ 9.29%

2-0 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.04)

3-1 @ 4.48%

3-0 @ 4.11%

3-2 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 6.46%

Total : 46.94%

Draw

1-1 @ 12.29%

0-0 @ 7.71%

2-2 @ 4.93%

3-3 @ 1.08%

Other @ 0.18%

Total : 26.19%

Crewe Alexandra

0-1 @ 7.56%

1-2 @ 6.61%

0-2 @ 4.19%

1-3 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.01)

2-3 @ 2.06%

0-3 @ 1.4%

Other @ 2.55%

Total : 26.87%

Head to Head

Aug 30, 2025 12.30pm

0

3

HT : 0 0

FT

Jan 11, 2025 3.00pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT County Ground

Mickey Demetriou 64'

Aug 24, 2024 12.30pm

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Alexandra Stadium

Mickey Demetriou 44'
Joel Tabiner 51'

Joel Cotterill 24'

Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 2 2

FT Alexandra Stadium

Elliott Nevitt 13'
Elliott Nevitt 13'
Conor Thomas 56'
Courtney Baker-Richardson 71'
Aaron Rowe 72'
Elliott Nevitt 90'+4'

Liam Kinsella 17'
Liam Kinsella 17'
Harrison Minturn 20'
Harrison Minturn 20'
Charlie Austin 30'
Charlie Austin 30'
Charlie Austin 34'
Charlie Austin 34'

Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm

2

2

HT : 1 0

FT County Ground

Udoka Godwin-Malife 21'
George McEachran 26'
Jake Young 47'
Murphy Mahoney 82'
Frazer Blake-Tracy 87'
Tom Brewitt 90'+6'

Rio Adebisi 15'
Jack Powell 15'
Lee Bell 16'
Zac Williams 20'
Conor Thomas 23'
Zac Williams 60'
Chris Long 67'
Rio Adebisi 85'
Harvey Davies 90'+2'

Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm

2

1

HT : 0 1

FT Alexandra Stadium

Conor Thomas 82'
Joel Tabiner 86'

Rushian Hepburn-Murphy 44'

Form Data

Barnet 1 - 2 Swindon

Shrewsbury 3 - 1 Swindon

Swindon 2 - 0 Newport

Swindon 3 - 0 Oldham

Harrogate 0 - 1 Swindon

Swindon 3 - 1 Barrow

Crewe 0 - 1 Fleetwood

Crewe 1 - 0 Gillingham

Crawley 0 - 1 Crewe

Barnet 1 - 1 Crewe

Crewe 1 - 0 Colchester

Bromley 2 - 2 Crewe