Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 55.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.66% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 21.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.87%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%) , while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.