FA Cup
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fsallog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fswilog.png)
-
Ryan Graydon
11'
-
Ryan Graydon
52'
-
Jorge Grant
61'
-
Daniel Udoh
61'
-
Brandon Cooper
61'
-
J. Grant
61'
-
Luke Garbutt
68'
-
Will Wright
29'
-
Jimmy Ball
46'
-
Aidan Borland
46'
-
James Ball
46'
-
Ollie Palmer
55'
-
Jimmy Ball
60'
-
James Ball
60'
-
Jake Tabor
77'
-
Joe Snowdon
77'
-
J. Tabor
77'
Salford City vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F01%2Fkarl-robinson-696042e5c2195796601755.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (6.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result
Salford City
46.47%
Draw
24.45%
▲
(+0.10)
Swindon Town
29.07%
▼
(-0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
55.88%
▼
(-0.40)
Goals
Over 1.5
78.25%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 1.5
21.75%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 2.5
55.62%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 2.5
44.38%
▲
(+0.50)
Over 3.5
33.15%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 3.5
66.85%
▲
(+0.45)
Over 4.5
19.7%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
80.3%
▼
(-0.05)
First Half Winner
Salford City
37.91%
Draw
41.12%
Swindon Town
20.97%
Team To Score First
Salford City
53.2%
▲
(+1.08)
No Goal
6%
▲
(+0.30)
Swindon Town
40.8%
▼
(-1.38)
Corners
Over 8
62.97%
▲
(+1.11)
Equal 8
10.61%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 8
26.42%
▼
(-1.15)
Over 9
51.72%
▲
(+0.98)
Equal 9
11.26%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 9
37.03%
▼
(-1.11)
Over 10.5
40.74%
▲
(+0.78)
Under 10.5
59.26%
▼
(-0.78)
Salford City Goals
Over 1.5
47.18%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 1.5
52.82%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 2.5
22.92%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 2.5
77.08%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 3.5
8.39%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 3.5
91.61%
▼
(-0.16)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5
65.55%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 0.5
34.45%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 1.5
33.14%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 1.5
66.86%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 2.5
12.55%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 2.5
87.45%
▲
(+0.52)
Over 3.5
4.23%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 3.5
95.77%
▼
(-0.05)
Score analysis
Salford City
46.49%
Draw
24.46%
Swindon Town
29.07%
Salford City
2-1
@
9.4%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 46.49%
1-0 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.02%
3-1 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 8.11% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 46.49%
Draw
1-1
@
11.16%
▼
(-0.23)
0-0 @ 6% ▲ (+0.30)
2-2 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.28% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 24.46%
0-0 @ 6% ▲ (+0.30)
2-2 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.43% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.28% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 24.46%
Swindon Town
0-1
@
6.91%
▲
(+0.12)
1-2 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.31)
1-3 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.26)
2-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 29.07%
1-2 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.13)
0-2 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.31)
1-3 @ 2.93% ▼ (-0.26)
2-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.17)
0-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 29.07%
Head to Head
League Two
Gameweek
27
League Two
League Two
Gameweek
35
-
Tom Nichols
7'
-
Harry Smith
71'
-
Hakeeb Adelakun
27'
-
Kelly N'Mai
72'
-
Haji Mnoga
74'
League Two
Gameweek
13
-
Kelly N'Mai
3'
-
Tom Edwards
15'
-
Jon Taylor
69'
-
Kylian Kouassi
76'
-
Mark Kennedy
16'
-
George Cox
39'
-
Harry Smith
50'
League Two
Gameweek
32
-
Saidou Khan
24'
-
Paul Glatzel
39'
-
Udoka Godwin-Malife
53'
-
George McEachran
82'
-
Curtis Tilt
27'
-
Callum Hendry
90'+2'
League Two
Gameweek
14
-
Ethan Ingram
7'
-
Elliot Watt
15'
-
Matt Smith
34'
-
Matthew Lund
76'
-
Curtis Tilt
84'
-
Liam Humbles
90'+5'
-
Remeao Hutton
11'
-
Tom Brewitt
12'
-
Charlie Austin
85'