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Championship header 2

League Two

MK Dons
League Two
Dec 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Swindon Town

MK Dons
1-0
SwindonSwindon Town

Nemane (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between MK Dons and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Swindon
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Next Game: MK Dons vs. Notts County
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Swindon
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Next Game: Cheltenham vs. Swindon
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 2-1 (7.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawSwindon Town
31.39% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)24.65% (-0.012 -0.01)43.96% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.58% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.71% (0.033000000000001 0.03)45.29% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.37% (0.030999999999999 0.03)67.63% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6%27.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)62.87%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (0.028999999999996 0.03)20.69% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (0.044000000000004 0.04)53.29% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 31.39%
    Swindon Town 43.96%
    Draw 24.65%
MK DonsDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 7.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 31.39%
1-1 @ 11.56%
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.65%
1-2 @ 9.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 7.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.7% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.1% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.22% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.96%

Head to Head
Nov 11, 2025 7pm
Southern Group Stage
MK Dons
0-4
Swindon
> Preview
May 3, 2025 3pm
gameweek 46
Swindon
0-0
MK Dons
Smith (24')
Sanders (16'), Hendry (68')
Nov 9, 2024 3pm
gameweek 15
MK Dons
3-1
Swindon
Thompson-Sommers (45+4'), Williams (57'), Gilbey (64')
Hendry (86')
Smith (1')
Smith (62'), Holloway (63')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
gameweek 34
Swindon
1-2
MK Dons
Austin (89')
Khan (45'), McKirdy (75')
Wearne (4', 8')
Bate (29')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
gameweek 16
MK Dons
3-2
Swindon
Dean (39'), O'Hora (66'), McEachran (84' og.)
Grant (27'), Harvie (54'), Eisa (90+6')
Young (59'), Blake-Tracy (90+4')
Clayton (29'), Khan (37'), McEachran (53'), Austin (86')
rhs 2.0


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