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MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Swindon Town

vs.

Coverage of the League Two clash between MK Dons and Swindon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for MK Dons has a probability of 31.41% and a draw has a probability of 24.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest MK Dons win is 2-1 (7.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.56%).

Result
MK DonsDrawSwindon Town
31.41% (0.185 0.19)24.66% (0.13 0.13)43.92% (-0.319 -0.32)
Both teams to score 57.56% (-0.362 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.68% (-0.51300000000001 -0.51)45.32% (0.509 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.34% (-0.492 -0.49)67.66% (0.48899999999999 0.49)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (-0.134 -0.13)27.4% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.12% (-0.173 -0.17)62.87% (0.16999999999999 0.17)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.28% (-0.355 -0.36)20.72% (0.352 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.67% (-0.558 -0.56)53.33% (0.554 0.55)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 31.41%
    Swindon Town 43.92%
    Draw 24.65%
MK DonsDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 7.49% (0.027 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.35% (0.133 0.13)
2-0 @ 4.76% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.05% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 31.41%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.68% (0.123 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.65%
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.78% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.69% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.09% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.88% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.45% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 43.92%

Head to Head
Nov 11, 2025 7pm
Southern Group Stage
MK Dons
0-4
Swindon
May 3, 2025 3pm
gameweek 46
Swindon
0-0
MK Dons
Smith (24')
Sanders (16'), Hendry (68')
Nov 9, 2024 3pm
gameweek 15
MK Dons
3-1
Swindon
Thompson-Sommers (45+4'), Williams (57'), Gilbey (64')
Hendry (86')
Smith (1')
Smith (62'), Holloway (63')
Feb 17, 2024 3pm
gameweek 34
Swindon
1-2
MK Dons
Austin (89')
Khan (45'), McKirdy (75')
Wearne (4', 8')
Bate (29')
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
gameweek 16
MK Dons
3-2
Swindon
Dean (39'), O'Hora (66'), McEachran (84' og.)
Grant (27'), Harvie (54'), Eisa (90+6')
Young (59'), Blake-Tracy (90+4')
Clayton (29'), Khan (37'), McEachran (53'), Austin (86')
rhs 2.0


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