League Two
MK Dons
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Swindon
  • Aaron Nemane 17' goal
  • Will Collar 38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Finley Munroe 21'
  • yellowcard Darren Oldaker 53'

MK Dons vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Harrogate 0 - 4 MK Dons
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Callum Paterson

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Swindon 1 - 0 Crawley
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 2-1 (7.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result

MK Dons 31.39% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 24.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Swindon Town 43.96% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.58% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 45.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.37% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.63% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 83.66% ▼ (-0.03)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 72.6%
Under 0.5 27.4%
Over 1.5 37.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 62.87%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5 79.31% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 0.5 20.69% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 46.71% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 53.29% ▼ (-0.05)

Score analysis

MK Dons 31.39%
Draw 24.65%
Swindon Town 43.96%
MK Dons
2-1 @ 7.49% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 31.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56%
2-2 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.65%
Swindon Town
1-2 @ 9.11% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.93% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.7% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.96%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
MK Dons
Nov 11, 2025 7.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Swindon
League Two Gameweek 46
Swindon
May 3, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT County Ground
MK Dons
  • Harry Smith 24' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Sanders 16'
  • yellowcard Callum Hendry 68'
League Two Gameweek 15
MK Dons
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadium mk
Swindon
  • Kane Thompson-Sommers 45'+4' goal
  • MJ Williams 57' goal
  • Alex Gilbey 64' goal
  • Callum Hendry 86' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Smith 1'
  • yellowcard Harry Smith 62'
  • yellowcard Ian Holloway 63'
League Two Gameweek 34
Swindon
Feb 17, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT County Ground
MK Dons
  • Saidou Khan 45' yellowcard
  • Harry McKirdy 75' yellowcard
  • Charlie Austin 89' goal
  • goal Stephen Wearne 4'
  • goal Stephen Wearne 8'
  • yellowcard Lewis Bate 29'
League Two Gameweek 16
MK Dons
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
Swindon
  • Conor Grant 27' yellowcard
  • Max Dean 39' goal
  • Daniel Harvie 54' yellowcard
  • Warren O'Hora 66' goal
  • George McEachran 84' goal
  • Mohamed Eisa 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thomas Clayton 29'
  • yellowcard Saidou Khan 37'
  • yellowcard George McEachran 53'
  • goal Jake Young 59'
  • yellowcard Charlie Austin 86'
  • goal Frazer Blake-Tracy 90'+4'
League One Gameweek 44
MK Dons
Apr 24, 2021 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stadium mk
Swindon
  • Will Grigg 16' goal
  • Scott Fraser 26' goal
  • Will Grigg 46' goal
  • Will Grigg 45'+2' goal
  • Will Grigg 49' goal

Form Data

Harrogate 0 - 4 MK Dons
MK Dons 1 - 1 Cambridge
Notts County 3 - 2 MK Dons
MK Dons 3 - 1 Oldham
MK Dons 2 - 1 Fleetwood
Tranmere 2 - 2 MK Dons
Swindon 1 - 0 Crawley
Bristol Rovers 0 - 3 Swindon
Swindon 0 - 1 Cheltenham
Swindon 4 - 0 Bolton
Swindon 1 - 0 Peterborough
Chesterfield 1 - 2 Swindon