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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 28.94% ( | 24.62% ( | 46.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.66% ( | 46.34% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.37% ( | 68.63% ( |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.41% ( | 29.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.38% ( | 65.62% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.96% ( | 20.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.75% ( | 52.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 2-1 @ 7.07% ( 2-0 @ 4.4% ( 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 3-0 @ 1.79% ( Other @ 3.3% Total : 28.94% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 3-3 @ 1.24% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.61% | 0-1 @ 9.53% ( 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0-2 @ 7.66% ( 1-3 @ 5% ( 0-3 @ 4.1% ( 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0-4 @ 1.65% ( 2-4 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 46.44% |