League Two
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Jack Evans 14' yellowcard
  • Tom Cursons 78' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Collins 15'
  • goal Aaron Collins 23'
  • goal Alex Gilbey 29'
  • goal Alex Gilbey 75'

Harrogate Town vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
Cheltenham 1 - 1 Harrogate
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Tobias Brenan

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
MK Dons 1 - 1 Cambridge
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Callum Paterson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 46.44%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7.22%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result

Harrogate Town 28.94% (+0.11)
Draw 24.62% (+0.08)
MK Dons 46.44% (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.3% (-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.66% (-0.28)
Under 2.5 46.34% (+0.28)
Over 3.5 31.37% (-0.26)
Under 3.5 68.63% (+0.27)
Over 4.5 15.63% (-0.19)
Under 4.5 84.37% (+0.19)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5 70.41% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 29.59% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 34.38% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 65.62% (+0.08)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 79.96% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 20.04% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 47.75% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 52.25% (+0.31)

Score analysis

Harrogate Town 28.94%
Draw 24.61%
MK Dons 46.44%
Harrogate Town
1-0 @ 7.22% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 7.07% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.4% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.87% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.79% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 28.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.6% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.93% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.61%
MK Dons
0-1 @ 9.53% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.66% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 4.1% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.04% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.01% (-0.03)
0-4 @ 1.65% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 46.44%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Nathan Thompson 18' yellowcard
  • Joe White 28' goal
  • Charlie Waller 40' yellowcard
  • Alex Gilbey 68' yellowcard
  • Joe White 70' yellowcard
  • Alex Gilbey 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Bryn Morris 29'
  • yellowcard Levi Sutton 54'
  • goal Zico Asare 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Tom Hill 90'+5'
League Two Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
1
5
HT : 0 3
FT CNG Stadium
  • Luke Offord 73' goal
  • goal Tommy Leigh 35'
  • goal Joe White 45'+2'
  • goal Alex Gilbey 45'+4'
  • goal Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 88'
  • goal Sonny Finch 90'
League Two Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
3
5
HT : 2 2
FT CNG Stadium
  • Abraham Odoh 33' goal
  • George Thomson 45'+2' goal
  • George Thomson 50' goal
  • goal Alex Gilbey 40'
  • goal Max Dean 43'
  • goal Stephen Wearne 52'
  • goal Emre Tezgel 80'
  • goal Ellis Harrison 83'
League Two Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium mk
  • Graham Alexander 44' yellowcard
  • MJ Williams 54' yellowcard
  • Brooklyn Ilunga 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Max Dean 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Warren O'Hora 40' (OG)
  • yellowcard Mark Oxley 43'