/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fswilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fcrawlog.png)
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Ollie Palmer
53'
-
Ollie Palmer
90'+8'
-
Harry Forster
35'
-
Harvey Davies
51'
-
Jay Williams
82'
Swindon Town vs Crawley Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 54.24%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.24%) and 1-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result
Swindon Town
54.24%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
21.32%
▲
(+0.01)
Crawley Town
24.44%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
63.77%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
65.33%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
34.67%
Over 3.5
43.38%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
56.62%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 4.5
24.92%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
75.08%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5
87.07%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
12.93%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
60.62%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
39.38%
▲
(+0.01)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5
73.24%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
26.76%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
37.97%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
62.03%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Swindon Town
54.24%
Draw
21.32%
Crawley Town
24.44%
Swindon Town
2-1
@
9.54%
▼
(-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.29%
4-1 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.19%
5-1 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 54.24%
2-0 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.08% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.29%
4-1 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.19%
5-1 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 54.24%
Draw
1-1
@
9.33%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.46%
3-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.32%
2-2 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.46%
3-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.32%
Crawley Town
1-2
@
6.15%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 24.44%
0-1 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.7% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 24.44%