Accrington Stanley
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Cambridge United
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Colchester United
Crawley Town
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Gillingham
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Salford City
Shrewsbury Town
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 21
Dec 20, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Crawley Town

vs.

Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swindon Town win with a probability of 54.29%. A win for Crawley Town has a probability of 24.4% and a draw has a probability of 21.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.25%) and 1-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Crawley Town win is 1-2 (6.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.33%).

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrawley Town
54.29% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)21.31% (0.165 0.16)24.4% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 63.75% (-0.707 -0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.31% (-0.88499999999999 -0.88)34.69% (0.883 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.36% (-0.997 -1)56.64% (0.997 1)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.08% (-0.325 -0.33)12.92% (0.323 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.64% (-0.665 -0.66)39.36% (0.663 0.66)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.2% (-0.539 -0.54)26.79% (0.536 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.91% (-0.712 -0.71)62.08% (0.712 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 54.29%
    Crawley Town 24.4%
    Draw 21.31%
Swindon TownDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.55% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.25% (0.151 0.15)
1-0 @ 7.08% (0.231 0.23)
3-1 @ 6.51% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.95% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.29% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.33% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.53% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.19% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.043 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 54.29%
1-1 @ 9.33% (0.166 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.46% (0.154 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.88% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 21.31%
1-2 @ 6.14% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.56% (0.136 0.14)
0-2 @ 3% (0.045 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 24.4%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2024 7.45pm
First Round
Crawley
4-2
Swindon
Adeyemo (34'), Roles (56', 88'), R (89')
Khaleel (70'), Roles (78'), Flint (86')
Ofoborh (60'), Smith (66')
Smith (90+6')
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
gameweek 26
Crawley
3-1
Swindon
Orsi (9', 53'), Roles (26')
Kemp (90+2')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
gameweek 5
Swindon
6-0
Crawley
Kemp (34'), Young (47', 51', 60', 71'), Shade (90+9')

Williams (88')
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
gameweek 46
Swindon
2-1
Crawley
Austin (41'), Cain (43')
Telford (62' pen.)
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 20
Crawley
2-0
Swindon
Tsaroulla (79'), Powell (83')