Accrington Stanley
Barnet
Barrow
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
Cambridge United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Newport County
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Oldham Athletic
Salford City
Shrewsbury Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Swindon Town
League Two
Dec 20, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Crawley Town

1-0

Palmer (53' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in League Two
Next Game: MK Dons vs. Swindon
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Swindon 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in League Two
Next Game: Crawley vs. Colchester
Friday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 54.24%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.24%) and 1-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrawley Town
54.24% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)21.32% (0.0019999999999989 0)24.44% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.33% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)34.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.38% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)56.62% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)12.93% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.62% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)39.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)26.76% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.97% (0.011000000000003 0.01)62.03% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 54.24%
    Crawley Town 24.44%
    Draw 21.32%
Swindon TownDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.24% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-0 @ 7.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 4.29%
4-1 @ 3.33% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.19%
5-1 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 54.24%
1-1 @ 9.33% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 6.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.46%
3-3 @ 1.89%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 21.32%
1-2 @ 6.15% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 4.56% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 24.44%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2024 7.45pm
First Round
Crawley
4-2
Swindon
Adeyemo (34'), Roles (56', 88'), R (89')
Khaleel (70'), Roles (78'), Flint (86')
Ofoborh (60'), Smith (66')
Smith (90+6')
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
gameweek 26
Crawley
3-1
Swindon
Orsi (9', 53'), Roles (26')
Kemp (90+2')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
gameweek 5
Swindon
6-0
Crawley
Kemp (34'), Young (47', 51', 60', 71'), Shade (90+9')

Williams (88')
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
gameweek 46
Swindon
2-1
Crawley
Austin (41'), Cain (43')
Telford (62' pen.)
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
gameweek 20
Crawley
2-0
Swindon
Tsaroulla (79'), Powell (83')
rhs 2.0


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