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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 54.24%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.24%) and 1-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 54.24% ( | 21.32% ( | 24.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.33% ( | 34.67% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.38% ( | 56.62% ( |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.07% ( | 12.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.62% ( | 39.38% ( |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( | 26.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.97% ( | 62.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 2-0 @ 7.24% ( 1-0 @ 7.08% ( 3-1 @ 6.51% ( 3-0 @ 4.94% ( 3-2 @ 4.29% 4-1 @ 3.33% ( 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 4-2 @ 2.19% 5-1 @ 1.36% ( 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 4-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.24% Total : 54.24% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0-0 @ 3.46% 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.32% | 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0-1 @ 4.56% ( 0-2 @ 3.01% ( 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 1-3 @ 2.7% ( 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.02% Total : 24.44% |