Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 (7.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.