/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Flutlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fswilog.png)
-
Jerry Yates
7'
-
Joseph Johnson
71'
-
Marvelous Nakamba
71'
-
Ethon Archer
71'
-
Marvelous Nakamba
71'
-
E. Archer
71'
-
Dawid Gawel
87'
-
Will Wright
37'
-
Joel McGregor
46'
-
Billy Kirkman
46'
-
Aaron Drinan
46'
-
Ollie Palmer
46'
-
Filozofe Mabete
53'
-
Tom Nichols
77'
-
Darren Oldaker
80'
Luton Town vs Swindon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F11%2Fwilshere-6915dcd644a16880168952.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (8.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result
Luton Town
43.11%
Draw
28%
Swindon Town
28.94%
Both Teams to Score:
51.15%
Goals
Over 1.5
72.06%
Under 1.5
27.94%
Over 2.5
46.71%
Under 2.5
53.29%
Over 3.5
25.21%
Under 3.5
74.79%
Over 4.5
13.59%
Under 4.5
86.41%
First Half Winner
Luton Town
32.75%
Draw
43.77%
Swindon Town
23.48%
Team To Score First
Luton Town
48.73%
No Goal
8.58%
Swindon Town
42.69%
Corners
Over 8
60.55%
Equal 8
10.64%
Under 8
28.81%
Over 9
49.47%
Equal 9
11.08%
Under 9
39.45%
Over 10.5
38.84%
Under 10.5
61.16%
Luton Town Goals
Over 1.5
40.09%
Under 1.5
59.91%
Over 2.5
16.7%
Under 2.5
83.3%
Over 3.5
5.45%
Under 3.5
94.55%
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5
63.88%
Under 0.5
36.12%
Over 1.5
29.6%
Under 1.5
70.4%
Over 2.5
9.87%
Under 2.5
90.13%
Over 3.5
3.07%
Under 3.5
96.93%
Score analysis
Luton Town
43.1%
Draw
28.01%
Swindon Town
28.94%
Luton Town
1-0
@
11.03%
2-1 @ 9.07%
2-0 @ 7.41%
3-0 @ 3.85%
3-1 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 2.64%
Other @ 5.3%
Total : 43.1%
2-1 @ 9.07%
2-0 @ 7.41%
3-0 @ 3.85%
3-1 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 2.64%
Other @ 5.3%
Total : 43.1%
Draw
1-1
@
13.03%
0-0 @ 8.58%
2-2 @ 5.29%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 28.01%
0-0 @ 8.58%
2-2 @ 5.29%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 28.01%
Swindon Town
0-1
@
8.38%
1-2 @ 6.88%
0-2 @ 4.92%
1-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 28.94%
1-2 @ 6.88%
0-2 @ 4.92%
1-3 @ 2.53%
0-3 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 28.94%
