AFC Wimbledon
Barnsley
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bradford City
Burton Albion
Cardiff City logo
Doncaster Rovers
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Luton Town
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Plymouth Argyle
Port Vale
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One

Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2026 at 3pm UK
 
Luton Town

ExeterExeter City
1-0
LutonLuton Town

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Exeter City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Luton
Thursday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Next Game: Huddersfield vs. Exeter
Sunday, January 4 at 3pm in League One

Luton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Luton
Thursday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Next Game: Doncaster vs. Luton
Sunday, January 4 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Exeter City has a probability of 36.7% and a draw has a probability of 26.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Exeter City win is 1-0 (9.43%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.45%).

Result
Exeter CityDrawLuton Town
36.7% (-0.204 -0.2)26.19% (0.111 0.11)37.11% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Both teams to score 53.58% (-0.377 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.99% (-0.477 -0.48)51.01% (0.48 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.13% (-0.421 -0.42)72.87% (0.423 0.42)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08% (-0.343 -0.34)26.92% (0.345 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76% (-0.452 -0.45)62.24% (0.454 0.45)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (-0.17 -0.17)26.69% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (-0.227 -0.23)61.94% (0.229 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 36.7%
    Luton Town 37.11%
    Draw 26.19%
Exeter CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.43% (0.089 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.71% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 36.7%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.18% (0.138 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 9.49% (0.136 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.27% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.76% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 37.11%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2025 7pm
Round of 32
Luton
4-0
Exeter
Nordas (13', 40'), Morris (34'), Nelson (67')
(90+3'), Lorentzen-Jones (90+3')

Fitzwater (39'), Dean (52'), Niskanen (71'), Francis (72'), Wareham (84')
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round
Exeter
1-0
Luton
Mitchell (83')
Mitchell (48'), Harper (51'), Sinisalo (78'), Carroll (90+6'), Sweeney (90+6')
Mitchell (88')

Mengi (35'), Chong (42')
> Preview
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Luton
1-0
Exeter
Cornick (38')
Oct 17, 2017 7.45pm
Exeter
1-4
Luton
Taylor (21')
Brown (37'), Moxey (74')
Collins (8'), Potts (46'), Hylton (52'), Cornick (55')
Rea (45'), Potts (80')
Mar 18, 2017 3pm
Luton
1-1
Exeter
Hylton (68')
Sheehan (56'), Senior (83')
Taylor (59')
Watkins (37')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!