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Championship header 2

League One

Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 24
Jan 1, 2026 at 3pm UK
 
Luton Town

ExeterExeter City
vs.
LutonLuton Town

Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and Luton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Exeter
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Luton Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Luton 3-0 Leyton Orient
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Luton Town win with a probability of 37.01%. A win for Exeter City has a probability of 36.9% and a draw has a probability of 26.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Exeter City win is 1-0 (9.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.39%).

Result
Exeter CityDrawLuton Town
36.9% (0.548 0.55)26.08% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)37.01% (-0.501 -0.5)
Both teams to score 53.96% (0.183 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.47% (0.226 0.23)50.53% (-0.231 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.55% (0.201 0.2)72.45% (-0.205 -0.2)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.42% (0.42400000000001 0.42)26.57% (-0.427 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.21% (0.559 0.56)61.79% (-0.563 -0.56)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.48% (-0.179 -0.18)26.51% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.29% (-0.236 -0.24)61.71% (0.232 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 36.9%
    Luton Town 37.01%
    Draw 26.08%
Exeter CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.34% (0.026 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.21% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.19% (0.091 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.63% (0.078 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 36.9%
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 9.35% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 6.21% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.64% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.01%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2025 7pm
Round of 32
Luton
4-0
Exeter
Nordas (13', 40'), Morris (34'), Nelson (67')
(90+3'), Lorentzen-Jones (90+3')

Fitzwater (39'), Dean (52'), Niskanen (71'), Francis (72'), Wareham (84')
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Third Round
Exeter
1-0
Luton
Mitchell (83')
Mitchell (48'), Harper (51'), Sinisalo (78'), Carroll (90+6'), Sweeney (90+6')
Mitchell (88')

Mengi (35'), Chong (42')
> Preview
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Luton
1-0
Exeter
Cornick (38')
Oct 17, 2017 7.45pm
Exeter
1-4
Luton
Taylor (21')
Brown (37'), Moxey (74')
Collins (8'), Potts (46'), Hylton (52'), Cornick (55')
Rea (45'), Potts (80')
Mar 18, 2017 3pm
Luton
1-1
Exeter
Hylton (68')
Sheehan (56'), Senior (83')
Taylor (59')
Watkins (37')
rhs 2.0


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