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AFC Wimbledon
League One
Dec 29, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 
Exeter City

0-1

FT(HT: 0-1)
Wareham (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between AFC Wimbledon and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Exeter
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Next Game: Leyton Orient vs. AFC Wimbledon
Thursday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Exeter
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Next Game: Exeter vs. Luton
Thursday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 45.59%. A draw had a probability of 28.19% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 26.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%) , while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawExeter City
45.59% (0.012999999999998 0.01)28.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)26.22% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.5% (0.012 0.01)61.49% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)81.36% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (0.010000000000005 0.01)27% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (0.015999999999998 0.02)62.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.47% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)76.52% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 45.59%
    Exeter City 26.22%
    Draw 28.19%
AFC WimbledonDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 14.09%
2-0 @ 9.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 4.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.7% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 45.59%
1-1 @ 12.96%
0-0 @ 10.76%
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 28.19%
0-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.96%
0-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.4%
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 26.22%

Head to Head
Dec 9, 2025 7.45pm
Dec 28, 2015 3pm
Aug 29, 2015 3pm
Mar 14, 2015 3pm
Exeter
3-2
AFC Wimbledon
Nichols (54', 66' pen.), Wheeler (70')
Riley-Lowe (24')
Akinfenwa (4'), Hamon (89' og.)
Oshilaja (80')
Bulman (25')
Dec 28, 2014 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
4-1
Exeter
Tubbs (9'), Azeez (48', 71'), Akinfenwa (86')
Fuller (18')
Sercombe (93')
rhs 2.0


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