League One
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alex Robertson 53' goal
  • Isaak Davies 56' yellowcard
  • Joel Bagan 87' yellowcard
  • Calum Chambers 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Oakes 82'

Cardiff City vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Lincoln 2 - 1 Cardiff
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Yousef Salech

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Exeter 3 - 0 Barnsley
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Jayden Wareham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 53.8%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 23.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.71%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (6.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Cardiff City 53.8% (+0.03)
Draw 22.42% (-0.02)
Exeter City 23.79% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.99% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.39% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 40.61% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 37.01% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 62.99% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 19.79% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 80.21% (-0.04)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5 84.9% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 15.1% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 56.35% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 43.65% (-0.05)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 69.49% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 30.51% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 33.27% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 66.73% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Cardiff City 53.8%
Draw 22.42%
Exeter City 23.79%
Cardiff City
2-1 @ 9.77%
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.16% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.19% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.66% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.91% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.45% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.73% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 53.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.34%
2-2 @ 5.8% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.42%
Exeter City
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 23.79%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Sep 16, 2025 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 24, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • James Collins 45' goal
  • Mark Harris 64' goal
  • goal Matt Jay 22'
  • goal Pierce Sweeney 50'