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Championship header 2

League One

Cardiff City logo
League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Exeter City

CardiffCardiff City
vs.
ExeterExeter City

Coverage of the League One clash between Cardiff City and Exeter City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cardiff 1-3 Chelsea
Tuesday, December 16 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Next Game: Lincoln vs. Cardiff
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 2-1 Exeter
Saturday, December 13 at 3pm in League One
Next Game: Exeter vs. Barnsley
Saturday, December 20 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cardiff City win with a probability of 53.08%. A win for Exeter City has a probability of 24.36% and a draw has a probability of 22.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Exeter City win is 1-2 (6.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.39%).

Result
Cardiff CityDrawExeter City
53.08%22.55%24.36%
Both teams to score 59.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.36%40.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.98%63.02%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.65%15.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.88%44.12%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.94%30.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.81%66.19%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 53.08%
    Exeter City 24.36%
    Draw 22.55%
Cardiff CityDrawExeter City
2-1 @ 9.74%
1-0 @ 8.65%
2-0 @ 8.1%
3-1 @ 6.08%
3-0 @ 5.06%
3-2 @ 3.66%
4-1 @ 2.85%
4-0 @ 2.37%
4-2 @ 1.71%
5-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 53.08%
1-1 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 5.85%
0-0 @ 4.61%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.55%
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-1 @ 5.55%
0-2 @ 3.33%
1-3 @ 2.5%
2-3 @ 2.35%
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 24.36%

Head to Head
Sep 16, 2025 7pm
Southern Group Stage
Exeter
0-1
Cardiff
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Cardiff
2-2
Exeter
Collins (45'), Harris (64' pen.)
Jay (22'), Sweeney (50')
rhs 2.0


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