Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-2 (7.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.