Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.