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Championship header 2

League One

Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 20, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Cardiff City logo

LincolnLincoln City
vs.
CardiffCardiff City

Coverage of the League One clash between Lincoln City and Cardiff City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Blackpool 2-2 Lincoln
Saturday, December 13 at 3pm in League One

Cardiff City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Cardiff 1-3 Chelsea
Tuesday, December 16 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cardiff City win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Lincoln City has a probability of 34.85% and a draw has a probability of 25.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Lincoln City win is 1-0 (8.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.91%).

Result
Lincoln CityDrawCardiff City
34.85% (-0.509 -0.51)25.25% (-0.093 -0.09)39.9% (0.603 0.6)
Both teams to score 56.63% (0.238 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.98% (0.343 0.34)47.02% (-0.342 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.74% (0.318 0.32)69.26% (-0.318 -0.32)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.89% (-0.13499999999999 -0.13)26.11% (0.135 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.83% (-0.182 -0.18)61.17% (0.184 0.18)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.64% (0.461 0.46)23.36% (-0.462 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.67% (0.665 0.66)57.33% (-0.664 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 34.85%
    Cardiff City 39.9%
    Draw 25.25%
Lincoln CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 8.19% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.5% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.46% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 34.85%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.1% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.81% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 8.87% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.66% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 6.45% (0.082 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.2% (0.093 0.09)
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.82% (0.052 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.53% (0.054 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.044 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 39.9%