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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.58%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (11.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Stevenage |
| 33.46% ( | 29.23% ( | 37.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.29% ( | 62.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.74% ( | 82.26% ( |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.13% ( | 34.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.4% ( | 71.6% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.69% ( | 32.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.18% ( | 68.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 11.87% 2-1 @ 7.07% ( 2-0 @ 6.25% ( 3-1 @ 2.48% ( 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 3-2 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 33.46% | 1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.26% ( 2-2 @ 3.99% ( Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.23% | 0-1 @ 12.72% ( 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0-2 @ 7.19% ( 1-3 @ 2.85% 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 2-3 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 37.3% |