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AFC Wimbledon
League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Stevenage

vs.

Coverage of the League One clash between AFC Wimbledon and Stevenage.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for AFC Wimbledon has a probability of 33.42% and a draw has a probability of 29.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (7.58%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win is 1-0 (11.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.41%).

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawStevenage
33.42% (-0.409 -0.41)29.24% (0.231 0.23)37.33% (0.18 0.18)
Both teams to score 44.06% (-0.681 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.25% (-0.805 -0.81)62.75% (0.808 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.71% (-0.59 -0.59)82.28% (0.59200000000001 0.59)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.09% (-0.712 -0.71)34.91% (0.714 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.35% (-0.758 -0.76)71.65% (0.76000000000001 0.76)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.69% (-0.30000000000001 -0.3)32.31% (0.302 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.19% (-0.339 -0.34)68.81% (0.343 0.34)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 33.42%
    Stevenage 37.33%
    Draw 29.24%
AFC WimbledonDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 11.87% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.06% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.48% (-0.092 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.19% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 33.42%
1-1 @ 13.41% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 11.27% (0.33 0.33)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.24%
0-1 @ 12.74% (0.28 0.28)
1-2 @ 7.58% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.2% (0.096 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.71% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 37.33%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2025 7pm
Southern Group Stage
AFC Wimbledon
1-5
Stevenage
Sep 5, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Stevenage
(Aggregate 1-1 | AFC Wimbledon win 6-5 on penalties)
Lewis (71')
Pell (14'), Davison (33'), Lock (90'), Lock (90')
Reid (55' pen.)
MacDonald (40'), Neal (46'), Forster-Caskey (75'), Thompson (88')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
gameweek 42
Stevenage
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Roberts (4'), Reid (61')
Al-Hamadi (11')
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 22
AFC Wimbledon
2-3
Stevenage
Al-Hamadi (39', 74')
Piergianni (55'), McAteer (61' og.), Norris (83')
Nov 12, 2018
11pm
rhs 2.0


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