Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.58%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (11.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.