Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.