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Championship header 2

League One

Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 20, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
 
Burton Albion

Stevenage
vs.
Burton Albion

Coverage of the League One clash between Stevenage and Burton Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stockport 1-3 Stevenage
Saturday, December 13 at 3pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Wycombe
Saturday, December 13 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stevenage win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Burton Albion has a probability of 28.04% and a draw has a probability of 27.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Burton Albion win is 0-1 (9.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.91%).

Result
StevenageDrawBurton Albion
44.37% (-0.167 -0.17)27.59% (0.376 0.38)28.04% (-0.21 -0.21)
Both teams to score 46.67% (-1.176 -1.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.43% (-1.442 -1.44)58.57% (1.442 1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.86% (-1.139 -1.14)79.14% (1.138 1.14)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73% (-0.74300000000001 -0.74)26.27% (0.742 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.61% (-1.006 -1.01)61.38% (1.004 1)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.29% (-0.95 -0.95)36.7% (0.949 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.5% (-0.965 -0.97)73.49% (0.96499999999999 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 44.36%
    Burton Albion 28.04%
    Draw 27.58%
StevenageDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 12.88% (0.42 0.42)
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-0 @ 8.62% (0.106 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-0 @ 3.84% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 44.36%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 9.64% (0.515 0.51)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.173 -0.17)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.58%
0-1 @ 9.66% (0.277 0.28)
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.84% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.45% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 28.04%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 26
Stevenage
0-1
Burton Albion
Webster (45')
Dodgson (79'), Crocombe (90'), Godwin-Malife (90+2')
Vancooten (57')
> Preview
Dec 10, 2024 7pm
Second Round
Burton Albion
0-4
Stevenage

Bran (2'), Willis (20'), Gilligan (72'), Whitfield (74')
Freestone (6'), Simpson (54'), Aboh (78'), White (83')
Piergianni (62')
Aug 24, 2024 12.30pm
gameweek 3
Burton Albion
0-0
Stevenage
Godwin-Malife (34'), Gilligan (67'), Watt (90')
Sweeney (7'), Roberts (34'), Thompson (34'), Simpson (50'), Smith (83')
> Preview
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
gameweek 44
Stevenage
1-2
Burton Albion
Hemmings (88')
Thompson (75'), Hemmings (90+4')
Butler (61')
Helm (45+1'), Hamer (76')
Oshilaja (21'), Helm (61'), Hamer (71')
> Preview
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
gameweek 21
Burton Albion
1-2
Stevenage
Oshilaja (7')
Stockton (66'), Oshilaja (77'), Hughes (90+3')
Hemmings (45+1'), Reid (51' pen.)
Evans (0'), Neal (61'), Forster-Caskey (63')
> Preview