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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 51.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.88% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%) , while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 51.6% | 24.88% | 23.52% |
| Both teams to score 50.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.53% | 51.47% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.72% | 73.27% |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.06% | 19.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.91% | 52.09% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.3% | 36.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.51% | 73.49% |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% 2-1 @ 9.54% 2-0 @ 9.51% 3-1 @ 5.13% 3-0 @ 5.11% 3-2 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.78% Total : 51.59% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 7.32% 2-2 @ 4.78% Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.34% 1-2 @ 5.93% 0-2 @ 3.68% 1-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.78% Total : 23.52% |