/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Frealog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Flutlog.png)
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Lewis Wing
8'
-
Jack Marriott
52'
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Andy Yiadom
72'
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Kelvin Ehibhaimha
78'
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Kelvin Ehibhaimha
90'
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Jordan Clark
59'
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Nigel Lonwijk
76'
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Jacob Brown
77'
Reading vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Reading had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (8.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result
Reading
34.11%
▲
(+0.38)
Draw
25.76%
▲
(+0.15)
Luton Town
40.13%
▼
(-0.53)
Both Teams to Score:
54.73%
▼
(-0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.6%
▼
(-0.57)
Under 2.5
49.4%
▲
(+0.57)
Over 3.5
28.56%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 3.5
71.44%
▲
(+0.52)
Over 4.5
13.68%
▼
(-0.35)
Under 4.5
86.31%
▲
(+0.36)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5
72.3%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
27.7%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
36.74%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
63.25%
▲
(+0.06)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5
75.7%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 0.5
24.3%
▲
(+0.53)
Over 1.5
41.32%
▼
(-0.75)
Under 1.5
58.68%
▲
(+0.75)
Score analysis
Reading
34.11%
Draw
25.76%
Luton Town
40.13%
Reading
1-0
@
8.64%
▲
(+0.19)
2-1 @ 7.85% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 34.11%
2-1 @ 7.85% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 34.11%
Draw
1-1
@
12.22%
▲
(+0.09)
0-0 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.76%
0-0 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.06)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.76%
Luton Town
0-1
@
9.52%
▲
(+0.08)
1-2 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.06)
0-4 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 40.13%
1-2 @ 8.65% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.10)
0-3 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.07)
1-4 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.06)
0-4 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 40.13%