Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 51.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.58% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%) , while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.