League One Gameweek 26
Jan 10, 2026 12.30pm
0
0
LIVE Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Jordan Clark 29' yellowcard

Luton Town vs Stevenage - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2026 3.00pm
Doncaster 0 - 0 Luton
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Gideon Kadua

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2026 3.00pm
Stevenage 0 - 0 Leyton Orient
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Jamie Reid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 51.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.58% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 21.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%) , while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Luton Town 51.9%
Draw 26.58%
Stevenage 21.55%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.03%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.54%
Under 1.5 30.46%
Over 2.5 42.73%
Under 2.5 57.27%
Over 3.5 21.84%
Under 3.5 78.16%
Over 4.5 11.75%
Under 4.5 88.25%

First Half Winner

Luton Town 40.84%
Draw 43.32%
Stevenage 15.84%

Team To Score First

Luton Town 62.11%
No Goal 8.87%
Stevenage 29.02%

Corners

Over 8 57.32%
Equal 8 11.32%
Under 8 31.35%
Over 9 45.83%
Equal 9 11.49%
Under 9 42.68%
Over 10.5 35.1%
Under 10.5 64.9%

Luton Town Goals

Over 1.5 43.86%
Under 1.5 56.14%
Over 2.5 18.8%
Under 2.5 81.2%
Over 3.5 6.38%
Under 3.5 93.62%

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 55.75%
Under 0.5 44.25%
Over 1.5 20.91%
Under 1.5 79.09%
Over 2.5 5.48%
Under 2.5 94.52%
Over 3.5 1.24%
Under 3.5 98.76%

Score analysis

Luton Town 51.9%
Draw 26.6%
Stevenage 21.54%
Luton Town
1-0 @ 13.87%
2-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 9.6%
3-0 @ 4.96%
3-1 @ 4.45%
3-2 @ 2.43%
Other @ 6.37%
Total : 51.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 8.87%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.6%
Stevenage
0-1 @ 7.76%
1-2 @ 5.34%
0-2 @ 3.55%
1-3 @ 1.55%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 21.54%

Head to Head

League One
Oct 4, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Cup
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
ET The Lamex Stadium
  • Elliott List 2' goal
  • Terence Vancooten 4' yellowcard
  • Ben Coker 26' goal
  • goal Cameron Jerome 5'
  • goal Admiral Muskwe 40'
  • yellowcard Henri Lansbury 44'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Osho 56'
  • yellowcard Glen Rea 58'
League Two
Feb 10, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ronnie Henry 84' yellowcard
  • Danny Newton 88' goal
  • Ben Wilmot 89' yellowcard
  • goal James Collins 85'
  • yellowcard James Collins 86'
  • yellowcard Jack Stacey 90'
League Two
Oct 14, 2017 3.00pm
7
1
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Luke Berry 3' goal
  • Danny Hylton 7' goal
  • Luke Berry 21' goal
  • Danny Hylton 52' goal
  • Luke Berry 62' goal
  • James Justin 90' goal
  • Luke Gambin 90' goal
  • yellowcard Jonathan Smith 11'
  • yellowcard Joe Martin 22'
  • goal Ben Kennedy 45'
League Two
Mar 11, 2017 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Luke Wilkinson 3'
  • yellowcard Tom Pett 8'
  • yellowcard Jack King 41'
  • goal Ben Kennedy 85'
  • yellowcard Ben Kennedy 86'
  • yellowcard Joel McAnuff 93'
League Two
Aug 20, 2016 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Connor Hunte 53' goal
  • Dean Wells 60' yellowcard
  • Luke Wilkinson 85' yellowcard
  • Matt Godden 96' goal
  • goal Cameron McGeehan 15'
  • yellowcard Danny Hylton 38'
  • yellowcard Olly Lee 66'