Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.