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League One
Dec 29, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
 
Stevenage

2-1

Robinson (64'), Salech (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Patterson (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Cardiff City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Stevenage
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Next Game: Wycombe vs. Cardiff
Thursday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Stevenage
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Next Game: Stevenage vs. Plymouth
Thursday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawStevenage
42.19% (0.735 0.73)25.7% (0.759 0.76)32.1% (-1.498 -1.5)
Both teams to score 54.32% (-3.079 -3.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34% (-3.779 -3.78)49.66% (3.775 3.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.32% (-3.483 -3.48)71.67% (3.479 3.48)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.62% (-1.283 -1.28)23.38% (1.28 1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.64% (-1.9 -1.9)57.35% (1.897 1.9)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (-2.788 -2.79)29.1% (2.783 2.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98% (-3.577 -3.58)65.02% (3.574 3.57)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 42.19%
    Stevenage 32.1%
    Draw 25.7%
Cardiff CityDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 9.89% (1.108 1.11)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.18% (0.558 0.56)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-0 @ 3.48% (0.146 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.32 -0.32)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.158 -0.16)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 42.19%
1-1 @ 12.2% (0.48 0.48)
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.988 0.99)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.431 -0.43)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.232 -0.23)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 8.4% (0.634 0.63)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-2 @ 5.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.382 -0.38)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.375 -0.38)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.205 -0.21)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 32.1%

Head to Head
Dec 9, 2025 7.45pm
Stevenage
0-1
Cardiff

Piergianni (40'), Goode (45'), (75'), Phillips (75'), Doherty (76'), (76')
Robinson (85')
Chambers (82')
rhs 2.0


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