League One
Dec 29, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Callum Robinson 64' goal
  • Yousef Salech 82' goal
  • Joel Colwill 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harvey White 54'
  • goal Phoenix Patterson 57'
  • yellowcard Louis Thompson 90'+3'

Cardiff City vs Stevenage - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
Cardiff 1 - 0 Exeter
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Omari Kellyman

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
AFC Wimbledon 0 - 0 Stevenage
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
James Tyrrell Reid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Cardiff City 42.19% (+0.74)
Draw 25.7% (+0.76)
Stevenage 32.1% (-1.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.32% (-3.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.34% (-3.78)
Under 2.5 49.66% (+3.78)
Over 3.5 28.32% (-3.49)
Under 3.5 71.67% (+3.48)
Over 4.5 13.53% (-2.41)
Under 4.5 86.47% (+2.41)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5 76.62% (-1.29)
Under 0.5 23.38% (+1.28)
Over 1.5 42.64% (-1.90)
Under 1.5 57.35% (+1.90)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 70.9% (-2.79)
Under 0.5 29.1% (+2.79)
Over 1.5 34.98% (-3.58)
Under 1.5 65.02% (+3.58)

Score analysis

Cardiff City 42.19%
Draw 25.7%
Stevenage 32.1%
Cardiff City
1-0 @ 9.89% (+1.11)
2-1 @ 8.87% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.18% (+0.56)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.16)
3-0 @ 3.48% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.32)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.12)
4-0 @ 1.27% (+0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 42.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.2% (+0.48)
0-0 @ 6.8% (+0.99)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.44)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.24)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.7%
Stevenage
0-1 @ 8.4% (+0.64)
1-2 @ 7.53% (-0.30)
0-2 @ 5.18% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.39)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.38)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.18)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 32.1%

Head to Head

League One
Dec 9, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Carl Piergianni 40' yellowcard
  • Charlie Goode 45' yellowcard
  • 75' yellowcard
  • Daniel Phillips 75' yellowcard
  • Ryan Doherty 76' yellowcard
  • 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Calum Chambers 82'
  • goal Callum Robinson 85'