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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Stevenage |
| 42.19% ( | 25.7% ( | 32.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.32% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.34% ( | 49.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.32% ( | 71.67% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.62% ( | 23.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.64% ( | 57.35% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% ( | 29.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.98% ( | 65.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 9.89% ( 2-1 @ 8.87% ( 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 4-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.19% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0-2 @ 5.18% ( 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 1-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.1% |