Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 50.75%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 25.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (6.55%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.