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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-0 (8.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Barnet |
| 36.81% | 25.14% | 38.05% |
| Both teams to score 57.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.68% | 46.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.4% | 68.6% |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.33% | 24.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.8% | 59.2% |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% | 24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.74% | 58.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Barnet |
| 1-0 @ 8.29% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 5.8% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-2 @ 2.76% 3-0 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 0.96% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.86% Total : 36.81% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 5.92% 2-2 @ 5.91% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 8.45% 1-2 @ 8.44% 0-2 @ 6.03% 1-3 @ 4.01% 0-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.02% 2-4 @ 1% Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.05% |