League Two Gameweek 27
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT The Nigel Eady County Ground Stadium
  • Joel McGregor 35' goal
  • Michael Olakigbe 59' yellowcard
  • Aidan Borland 64' yellowcard
  • Fletcher Holman 64' yellowcard
  • Billy Kirkman 74' yellowcard
  • Filozofe Mabete 74' yellowcard
  • Aaron Drinan 77' goal
  • goal Oliver Turton 24'
  • goal Kelly N'Mai 31'
  • yellowcard Ben Woodburn 66'
  • goal Kallum Cesay 72'
  • yellowcard Matt Butcher 82'
  • yellowcard Zach Awe 83'
  • yellowcard Rosaire Longelo 90'+5'

Swindon Town vs Salford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 1, 2026 3.00pm
Swindon 2 - 0 Gillingham
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan

Salford City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 1, 2026 3.00pm
Barrow 1 - 2 Salford City
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Kelly N'Mai

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Swindon Town win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Salford City has a probability of 32.5% and a draw has a probability of 25.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Salford City win is 1-2 (7.78%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.03%).

Result

Swindon Town 42.22%
Draw 25.28% (-0.04)
Salford City 32.5% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.29% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.62% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 23.38% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 52.89% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 47.11% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 30.57% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 69.43% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 17.22% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 82.78% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Swindon Town 29.65%
Draw 42.68%
Salford City 27.67%

Team To Score First

Swindon Town 47.39% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.13% (-0.03)
Salford City 46.48% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.6%
Equal 8 11.27%
Under 8 28.12%
Over 9 48.85%
Equal 9 11.76%
Under 9 39.4%
Over 10.5 37.63%
Under 10.5 62.37%

Swindon Town Goals

Over 1.5 42.25% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 57.75% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 18.5% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.5% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.43% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.57% (-0.02)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5 67.87% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 32.13% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 34.91% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 65.09% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 13.55% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 86.45% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.22% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.78% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Swindon Town 42.21%
Draw 25.29%
Salford City 32.5%
Swindon Town
1-0 @ 9.56%
2-1 @ 8.95%
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.29%
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.97% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.24% (+0.01)
Total : 42.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.13% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.62% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25.29%
Salford City
1-2 @ 7.78% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.69% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.99% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.44% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.47% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.1%
Other @ 4.03% (+0.02)
Total : 32.5%

Head to Head

League Two
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT County Ground
  • Tom Nichols 7' goal
  • Harry Smith 71' goal
  • goal Hakeeb Adelakun 27'
  • goal Kelly N'Mai 72'
  • yellowcard Haji Mnoga 74'
League Two Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Moor Lane
  • Kelly N'Mai 3' goal
  • Tom Edwards 15' yellowcard
  • Jon Taylor 69' goal
  • Kylian Kouassi 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mark Kennedy 16'
  • yellowcard George Cox 39'
  • goal Harry Smith 50'
League Two Gameweek 32
Feb 10, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT County Ground
  • Saidou Khan 24' yellowcard
  • Paul Glatzel 39' yellowcard
  • Udoka Godwin-Malife 53' yellowcard
  • George McEachran 82' goal
  • yellowcard Curtis Tilt 27'
  • goal Callum Hendry 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 14
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Peninsula Stadium
  • Ethan Ingram 7' goal
  • Elliot Watt 15' yellowcard
  • Matt Smith 34' yellowcard
  • Matthew Lund 76' yellowcard
  • Curtis Tilt 84' redcard
  • Liam Humbles 90'+5' goal
  • goal Remeao Hutton 11'
  • yellowcard Tom Brewitt 12'
  • goal Charlie Austin 85'
League Two Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Peninsula Stadium
  • Ryan Watson 4' goal
  • goal Jacob Wakeling 26'
  • goal Elliot Watt 55' (OG)