Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.