League Two
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT CNG Stadium
  • Mark Oxley 46' yellowcard
  • Aiden Marsh 67' yellowcard
  • Lewis Cass 67' yellowcard
  • Aiden Marsh 81' goal
  • Conor McAleny 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matty Virtue 14'
  • yellowcard Matthew Virtue-Thick 14'
  • goal Ched Evans 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Toby Mullarkey 62'
  • yellowcard Kayden Hughes 77'
  • yellowcard Owen Devonport 77'
  • goal Matty Virtue 90'+1'
  • goal Matthew Virtue-Thick 90'+1'

Harrogate Town vs Fleetwood Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Harrogate 0 - 3 Gillingham
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Jack Muldoon

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Colchester 2 - 1 Fleetwood
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Mark Helm

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result

Harrogate Town 27.59% (-0.11)
Draw 23.58% (+0.01)
Fleetwood Town 48.8% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.81% (-0.12)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.11% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 23.89% (+0.32)
Over 2.5 52.81% (-0.51)
Under 2.5 47.19% (+0.51)
Over 3.5 31.14% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 68.86% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 17.97% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 82.03% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Harrogate Town 23.32% (+0.20)
Draw 41.96% (+0.04)
Fleetwood Town 34.72% (-0.25)

Team To Score First

Harrogate Town 36.69% (+0.36)
No Goal 6.01% (+0.07)
Fleetwood Town 57.3% (-0.43)

Corners

Over 8 60.73% (+0.20)
Equal 8 10.61%
Under 8 28.66% (-0.20)
Over 9 49.67% (+0.20)
Equal 9 11.06% (+0.03)
Under 9 39.27% (-0.20)
Over 10.5 39.04% (+0.16)
Under 10.5 60.96% (-0.16)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 1.5 30.14% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 69.86% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 11.19% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 88.81% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 3.47% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.53% (+0.04)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5 77.63% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 22.37% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 46.78% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 53.22% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 21.85% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 78.15% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 8.11% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 91.89% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Harrogate Town 27.59%
Draw 23.59%
Fleetwood Town 48.81%
Harrogate Town
1-0 @ 7.14% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 6.31% (-0.15)
2-0 @ 4.21% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 2.76% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.63% (-0.14)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 27.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.05% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 6.01% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.1% (-0.03)
Total : 23.59%
Fleetwood Town
0-1 @ 10.73% (+0.17)
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 8.03% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 5.15% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.27% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 3.16%
Other @ 8.01% (+0.01)
Total : 48.81%

Head to Head

League Two
Oct 11, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 44
Apr 21, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT CNG Stadium
  • Zico Asare 10' yellowcard
  • Jasper Moon 56' goal
  • Ellis Taylor 61' goal
  • Ben Fox 78' yellowcard
  • Tom Cursons 90'+6' goal
  • Bryant Bilongo 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kobei Moore 19'
  • yellowcard Rhys Bennett 48'
  • goal Kobei Moore 51'
League Two Gameweek 23
Dec 29, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 2 2
FT Highbury Stadium
  • James Bolton 2' goal
  • James Bolton 2' goal
  • Brendan Wiredu 25' yellowcard
  • Brendan Wiredu 25' yellowcard
  • Finley Potter 77' yellowcard
  • Finley Potter 77' yellowcard
  • Danny Mayor 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Danny Mayor 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Josh March 8'
  • goal Josh March 8'
  • yellowcard Dean Cornelius 65'
  • yellowcard Dean Cornelius 65'