/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fporlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Ffleelog.png)
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Jordan Shipley
45'+2'
-
Ryan Croasdale
62'
-
Mo Faal
62'
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Jaheim Headley
75'
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Dajaune Brown
78'
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Ched Evans
42'
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Kayden Hughes
59'
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Shaun Rooney
59'
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Matty Virtue
71'
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Owen Devonport
72'
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (8.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result
Port Vale
45.44%
Draw
24.6%
Fleetwood Town
29.96%
Both Teams to Score:
54.24%
Goals
Over 1.5
74.81%
Under 1.5
25.19%
Over 2.5
51.26%
Under 2.5
48.74%
Over 3.5
29.08%
Under 3.5
70.92%
Over 4.5
16.42%
Under 4.5
83.58%
First Half Winner
Port Vale
35.36%
Draw
42.26%
Fleetwood Town
22.38%
Team To Score First
Port Vale
52.68%
No Goal
7.02%
Fleetwood Town
40.3%
Corners
Over 8
55.98%
Equal 8
11.02%
Under 8
32.99%
Over 9
44.9%
Equal 9
11.08%
Under 9
44.02%
Over 10.5
34.62%
Under 10.5
65.38%
Port Vale Goals
Over 1.5
43.26%
Under 1.5
56.74%
Over 2.5
19.71%
Under 2.5
80.29%
Over 3.5
7.18%
Under 3.5
92.82%
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5
64.39%
Under 0.5
35.61%
Over 1.5
31%
Under 1.5
69%
Over 2.5
11%
Under 2.5
89%
Over 3.5
3.22%
Under 3.5
96.78%
Score analysis
Port Vale
45.43%
Draw
24.62%
Fleetwood Town
29.97%
Port Vale
1-0
@
10.18%
2-1 @ 9.16%
2-0 @ 7.15%
3-1 @ 4.51%
3-0 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 3.15%
Other @ 7.17%
Total : 45.43%
2-1 @ 9.16%
2-0 @ 7.15%
3-1 @ 4.51%
3-0 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 3.15%
Other @ 7.17%
Total : 45.43%
Draw
1-1
@
11.71%
0-0 @ 7.02%
2-2 @ 5.12%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.62%
0-0 @ 7.02%
2-2 @ 5.12%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.62%
Fleetwood Town
0-1
@
8.01%
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-2 @ 4.68%
1-3 @ 3.04%
2-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 29.97%
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-2 @ 4.68%
1-3 @ 3.04%
2-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 29.97%