Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (8.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.