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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (8.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 33.58% ( | 25.68% | 40.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.87% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.84% ( | 49.16% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.77% ( | 71.22% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( | 27.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.47% ( | 63.52% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% ( | 23.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.92% ( | 58.08% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 2-0 @ 5.43% ( 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 4-1 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 33.58% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 2-2 @ 5.57% ( 3-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0-2 @ 6.83% ( 1-3 @ 4.16% ( 0-3 @ 3.26% ( 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 2-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.95% Total : 40.74% |