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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 47.99%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (7.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 27.55% | 24.46% | 47.99% |
| Both teams to score 55.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.47% | 46.53% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.19% | 68.8% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.3% | 30.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.04% | 66.95% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.53% | 19.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.68% | 51.32% |
| Score Analysis |
| Newport County | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 7.06% 2-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 4.17% 3-1 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 2.2% 3-0 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.99% Total : 27.55% | 1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 5.98% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 9.78% 1-2 @ 9.45% 0-2 @ 8% 1-3 @ 5.16% 0-3 @ 4.37% 2-3 @ 3.04% 1-4 @ 2.11% 0-4 @ 1.79% 2-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.05% Total : 47.99% |