Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huddersfield Town win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huddersfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (7.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.