Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (9.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.