League One
Feb 21, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Cherry Red Records Stadium
  • James Tilley 11' goal
  • Marcus Browne 42' goal
  • Mathew Stevens 67' goal
  • Omar Bugiel 82' yellowcard
  • Antwoine Hackford 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aden Baldwin 46'
  • yellowcard Bobby Pointon 46'
  • yellowcard Ethan Wheatley 63'
  • yellowcard Stephen Humphrys 63'
  • goal Stephen Humphrys 76'

AFC Wimbledon vs Bradford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Cardiff 4 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Marcus Browne

Bradford City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
Bradford 1 - 0 Stockport
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Antoni Sarcevic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 32.2% and a draw had a probability of 27.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (9.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result

AFC Wimbledon 40.73% (+0.03)
Draw 27.06%
Bradford City 32.2%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.87%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.51% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 28.49% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 46.56% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 53.44% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 25.18% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 74.82% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.5% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 86.5% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

AFC Wimbledon 31.27% (+0.17)
Draw 45.14% (-0.18)
Bradford City 23.59%

Team To Score First

AFC Wimbledon 51.17% (+0.02)
No Goal 8.16% (-0.01)
Bradford City 40.67%

Corners

Over 8 56.73%
Equal 8 11.77%
Under 8 31.5%
Over 9 44.83%
Equal 9 11.9%
Under 9 43.27%
Over 10.5 33.81%
Under 10.5 66.19%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 1.5 38% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 62% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 15.23% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 84.77% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.89% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.11% (-0.02)

Bradford City Goals

Over 0.5 65.68% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 34.32% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 31.34% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 68.66% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 11.35% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 88.65% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 3.35%
Under 3.5 96.65%

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 40.74%
Draw 27.06%
Bradford City 32.2%
AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 11.03%
2-1 @ 8.54% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.07% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.77% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.3% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27%
Other @ 4.76% (+0.01)
Total : 40.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 8.16% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 27.06%
Bradford City
0-1 @ 9.3%
1-2 @ 7.53%
0-2 @ 5.15%
1-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.12% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 32.2%

Head to Head

League One
Aug 30, 2025 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 30
Feb 1, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Kingsmeadow
  • James Tilley 13' goal
  • James Tilley 13' goal
  • Ryan Johnson 42' yellowcard
  • Joe Lewis 71' yellowcard
  • Alistair Smith 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis Richards 31'
League Two Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Coral Windows Stadium
  • Tyreik Wright 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Richie Smallwood 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Andy Cook 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Myles Hippolyte 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Joe Lewis 90'+3'
League Two Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Utilita Energy Stadium
  • Richie Smallwood 38' yellowcard
  • Kevin McDonald 80' yellowcard
  • Calum Kavanagh 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lee Brown 24'
  • yellowcard Isaac Ogundere 45'
  • yellowcard Omar Bugiel 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Armani Little 77'
League Two Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Kingsmeadow
  • Josh Davison 17' yellowcard
  • Joe Lewis 58' yellowcard
  • Isaac Ogundere 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matthew Platt 7'
  • yellowcard Richie Smallwood 30'
  • goal Emmanuel Osadebe 62'
League Two Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Cherry Red Records Stadium