League One Gameweek 29
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Vale Park

Port Vale vs AFC Wimbledon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Port Vale 1 - 3 Exeter
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Ben Waine

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Rotherham 1 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Marcus Browne

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Port Vale win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for AFC Wimbledon has a probability of 31.62% and a draw has a probability of 26.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win is 0-1 (7.97%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.36%).

Result

Port Vale 42.36% (+0.08)
Draw 26.03%
AFC Wimbledon 31.62% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.62%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.01% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 24.99% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 50.55%
Under 2.5 49.45%
Over 3.5 28.53%
Under 3.5 71.47%
Over 4.5 15.62% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 84.38% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Port Vale 32.06%
Draw 46.04%
AFC Wimbledon 21.9%

Team To Score First

Port Vale 54.43%
No Goal 6.91%
AFC Wimbledon 38.66%

Corners

Over 8 60.07%
Equal 8 11.57%
Under 8 28.36%
Over 9 48.05%
Equal 9 12.02%
Under 9 39.93%
Over 10.5 36.64%
Under 10.5 63.36%

Port Vale Goals

Over 1.5 41.32% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 58.68% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 17.37% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.63% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.93% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.07% (-0.02)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 66.71% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 33.29% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 33.05% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 66.95% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 12.07% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 87.93% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 3.73% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.27% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Port Vale 42.36%
Draw 26.02%
AFC Wimbledon 31.61%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 10.1% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.03% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.09% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.3% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.37% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.66%
Other @ 5.81% (+0.01)
Total : 42.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 6.91%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.02%
AFC Wimbledon
0-1 @ 7.97% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.61% (-0.03)
Total : 31.61%

Head to Head

League One
Oct 11, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League Two Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Kingsmeadow
  • Omar Bugiel 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Sam Hutchinson 58' yellowcard
  • Joe Lewis 67' yellowcard
  • goal Jayden Stockley 64'
  • goal Jaheim Headley 67'
League Two Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Vale Park
  • Brandon Cover 9' goal
  • Rico Richards 11' goal
  • Jesse Debrah 19' yellowcard
  • Jayden Stockley 62' goal
  • Jayden Stockley 64' yellowcard
  • Jason Lowe 75' yellowcard
  • Benicio Baker-Boatiey 87' yellowcard
  • Connor Ripley 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Lewis 11'
  • yellowcard Johnnie Jackson 12'
  • goal Josh Neufville 61'
  • goal Myles Hippolyte 78'
League One
Apr 1, 2017 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nathan Smith 21' goal
  • Chris Eagles 48' yellowcard
  • Chris Eagles 69' goal
  • yellowcard Andrew Barcham 17'
  • yellowcard Paul Robinson 58'
League One
Dec 17, 2016 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • George Francomb 16' yellowcard
  • Dominic Poleon 53' goal
  • Tom Elliott 58' goal
  • Dean Parrett 66' yellowcard
  • Tyrone Barnett 85' goal
  • Chris Robertson 89' goal
  • yellowcard Sebastien Amoros 18'
  • yellowcard Remie Streete 60'
  • yellowcard Anthony De Freitas 81'
  • yellowcard Sam Kelly 82'
League Two
Feb 5, 2013 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Lee Hughes 13' goal
  • Ashley Vincent 35' goal
  • Ashley Vincent 75' goal

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