Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 64.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.85% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (10.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%) , while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.