Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.36% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 16.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%) , while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.