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League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
 
Rotherham logo

vs.

Coverage of the League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Rotherham United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 62.4%. A draw has a probability of 21.36% and a win for Rotherham United has a probability of 16.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.15%) , while for a Rotherham United win it is 0-1 (5.23%).

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawRotherham United
62.4% (0.72000000000001 0.72)21.36% (-0.194 -0.19)16.24% (-0.527 -0.53)
Both teams to score 49.9% (-0.501 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.42% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)46.58% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.15% (-0.09 -0.09)68.85% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.65% (0.19500000000001 0.2)14.34% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.8% (0.378 0.38)42.2% (-0.377 -0.38)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.25% (-0.723 -0.72)41.74% (0.722 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.79% (-0.636 -0.64)78.21% (0.636 0.64)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 62.38%
    Rotherham United 16.24%
    Draw 21.35%
Bolton WanderersDrawRotherham United
1-0 @ 11.62% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 11.28% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.31% (0.179 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.38% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.55% (0.111 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.1% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.38% (0.052 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 62.38%
1-1 @ 10.15% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.095 -0.09)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 21.35%
0-1 @ 5.23% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
1-2 @ 4.44% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.29% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 16.24%

Head to Head
Apr 8, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 38
Bolton
0-1
Rotherham

Baxter (85')
Nombe (11')
Jan 11, 2025 12.30pm
gameweek 16
Rotherham
3-1
Bolton
Wilks (34' pen.), James (45+6'), Nombe (75')
Humphreys (15'), Evans (16')
McAtee (86')
Santos (33')
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
gameweek 26
Rotherham
2-1
Bolton
Smith (40', 74')
Ogbene (53'), Smith (84')
Doyle (42')
Afolayan (43'), Dixon (68'), Santos (83')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
gameweek 8
Bolton
0-2
Rotherham

Afolayan (64'), Williams (89'), Jones (90+5')
Wiles (18', 21')
Wood (6'), Mattock (51'), Harding (79')
rhs 2.0


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