League One
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Josh Sheehan 45'+1' goal
  • Max Conway 69' yellowcard
  • Josh Sheehan 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Ar'jany Martha 63'
  • yellowcard Jamal Baptiste 85'
  • goal Sam Nombe 90'

Bolton Wanderers vs Rotherham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Wycombe 2 - 1 Bolton
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
S. Dalby

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Rotherham 1 - 3 Huddersfield
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
S. Nombe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 21.36% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 16.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%) , while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 62.38% (-0.01)
Draw 21.36% (+0.01)
Rotherham United 16.25% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.91% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.43% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 46.57% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 31.15% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 68.85% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 15.47% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 84.52% (-0.01)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 85.65% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 14.35% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 57.79% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 42.2% (+0.01)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5 58.28% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 41.72% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 21.8% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 78.2% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 62.38%
Draw 21.36%
Rotherham United 16.25%
Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 11.62%
2-0 @ 11.28%
2-1 @ 9.86% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.3% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.38%
4-0 @ 3.55% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.1% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.79% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.38%
4-2 @ 1.35%
5-1 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 62.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.16% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.99% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.31% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21.36%
Rotherham United
0-1 @ 5.23% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.44% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.29% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.29% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 16.25%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Sep 2, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 38
Apr 8, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Nathan Baxter 85' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Nombe 11'
League One Gameweek 16
Jan 11, 2025 12.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Cameron Humphreys 15' yellowcard
  • Steve Evans 16' yellowcard
  • Mallik Wilks 34' goal
  • Reece James 45'+6' goal
  • Sam Nombe 75' goal
  • yellowcard Ricardo Santos 33'
  • goal John McAtee 86'
League One Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Michael Smith 40' goal
  • Chiedozie Ogbene 53' yellowcard
  • Michael Smith 74' goal
  • Michael Smith 84' yellowcard
  • goal Eoin Doyle 42'
  • yellowcard Oladapo Afolayan 43'
  • yellowcard Joel Dixon 68'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Santos 83'
League One Gameweek 8
Sep 18, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Oladapo Afolayan 64' yellowcard
  • Jordan Williams 89' yellowcard
  • Gethin Jones 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Wood 6'
  • goal Ben Wiles 18'
  • goal Ben Wiles 21'
  • yellowcard Joe Mattock 51'
  • yellowcard Wes Harding 79'
League One Gameweek 45
Apr 25, 2020 3.00pm
Macron Stadium