Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.58%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-2 (7.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.