Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 1-2 (7.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.