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League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2026 at 12pm UK
 
Northampton Town

BoltonBolton Wanderers
vs.
NorthamptonNorthampton Town

Coverage of the League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bolton 0-1 Mansfield
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Next Game: Doncaster vs. Bolton
Thursday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Northampton Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Huddersfield 2-0 Northampton
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Next Game: Northampton vs. Stockport
Thursday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 68.55%. A draw has a probability of 19.23% and a win for Northampton Town has a probability of 12.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.14%) , while for a Northampton Town win it is 0-1 (4.36%).

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawNorthampton Town
68.55% (0.173 0.17)19.23% (-0.109 -0.11)12.21% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 46.26% (0.135 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.1% (0.297 0.3)45.9% (-0.303 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.79% (0.282 0.28)68.21% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.68% (0.13500000000001 0.14)12.32% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.89% (0.286 0.29)38.11% (-0.291 -0.29)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.75% (0.07 0.07)47.24% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.33% (0.052000000000003 0.05)82.67% (-0.057999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 68.54%
    Northampton Town 12.21%
    Draw 19.23%
Bolton WanderersDrawNorthampton Town
2-0 @ 12.75% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 12.18% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.57%
3-0 @ 8.91% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.68% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 4.66% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.5% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.019 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.95% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 68.54%
1-1 @ 9.14% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.82% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.59% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 19.23%
0-1 @ 4.36% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-2 @ 3.43% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 12.21%

Head to Head
Sep 27, 2025 3pm
Northampton
2-0
Bolton
> Preview
Jan 28, 2025 7.45pm
gameweek 29
Bolton
3-1
Northampton
Thomason (3'), Shaw (44' og.), Collins (83')
Sheehan (41')
Shaw (8')
Taylor (31'), Shaw (36')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
gameweek 9
Northampton
2-4
Bolton
Eaves (90+1'), Guthrie (90+3')
McGeehan (10'), Chouchane (37'), Roberts (67'), Pinnock (87')
McAtee (6'), Thomason (23'), Toal (60'), Charles (83')
Thomason (17'), Schon (33'), Matete (90+2'), Williams (90+5')
> Preview
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
gameweek 32
Northampton
1-1
Bolton
Bowie (2')
Mendes Gomes (74')
Adeboyejo (23'), Sheehan (54'), Jones (90+1')
Evatt (24'), Thomason (27')
> Preview
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
gameweek 14
Bolton
2-1
Northampton
Charles (8'), Williams (16')
Hoskins (66')
Hondermarck (86')