Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.35% and a win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 13.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%) , while for a Mansfield Town win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.