League One
Dec 26, 2025 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 4 1
FT
  • Jake Beesley 3' goal
  • Jack Armer 23' goal
  • Max Dyche 28' goal
  • Tyrese Shade 44' goal
  • Dylan Willis 56' yellowcard
  • Terence Vancooten 59' yellowcard
  • George Evans 77' yellowcard
  • Tyrese Shade 84' goal
  • goal Tom Eaves 39'
  • yellowcard Ethan Wheatley 51'
  • yellowcard Jack Burroughs 75'

Burton Albion vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 12.30pm
Stevenage 2 - 2 Burton Albion
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Tyrese Shade

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Dec 19, 2025 7.45pm
Northampton 3 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Tom Eaves

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 36.49%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (10.61%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result

Burton Albion 36.1% (-0.03)
Draw 27.41% (+0.01)
Northampton Town 36.49% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.61% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 44% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 56% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 22.91% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 77.09% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 10.06% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 89.94% (+0.02)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 70.31% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 29.69% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 34.26% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 65.74% (+0.04)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 70.55% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 29.44% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 34.55% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 65.45% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 36.09%
Draw 27.41%
Northampton Town 36.48%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.45% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.61% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 36.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.98% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.74% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.41%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 10.68% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.94% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.53% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 2.66% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 36.48%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 25
Jan 4, 2025 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Charlie Webster 17' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Hoskins 84'
  • goal Sam Hoskins 86'
EFL Trophy
Nov 12, 2024 7.00pm
2
5
HT : 1 3
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Neo Dobson 2' goal
  • Martyn Waghorn 34' yellowcard
  • Martyn Waghorn 47' goal
  • goal Nicholas Akoto 13'
  • goal Dylan Willis 36'
  • goal Charlie Webster 39'
  • goal Romelle Donovan 49'
  • goal Ben Whitfield 66'
League One Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Will Hondermarck 26' yellowcard
  • Jon Brady 27' yellowcard
  • Tomas Kalinauskas 34' yellowcard
  • Samy Chouchane 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elliot Watt 33'
  • yellowcard Cameron McGeehan 34'
  • yellowcard Danilo Orsi 43'
League One Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • goal Marc Leonard 22'
  • goal Mitchell Pinnock 36'
  • yellowcard Louie Moulden 47'
  • yellowcard Marc Leonard 90'+4'
League One Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Marc Leonard 54' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 78' goal
  • yellowcard Joe Powell 25'
  • yellowcard Beryly Lubala 90'
League One Gameweek 29
Feb 13, 2021 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT PTS ACADEMY STADIUM
  • Peter Kioso 64' yellowcard
  • Sam Hoskins 82' yellowcard
  • goal Michael Bostwick 77'
  • yellowcard Sean Clare 82'
  • goal Ryan Edwards 90'+4'