Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (7.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.