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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (7.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 46.69% ( | 23.93% ( | 29.39% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.01% ( | 42.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.61% ( | 65.39% ( |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.4% ( | 18.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.11% ( | 49.89% ( |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.42% ( | 27.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.89% ( | 63.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 3-2 @ 3.38% 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 4-2 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 3.43% Total : 46.69% | 1-1 @ 11.11% 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 3-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0-2 @ 4.26% ( 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 1-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.89% Total : 29.39% |